Marine Weather Net

Pensacola FL to Pascagoula MS out 20 NM Marine Forecast


TONIGHT

S
WINDS
10 - 15
KNOTS

TUESDAY

SW
WINDS
5 - 10
KNOTS

TUESDAY NIGHT

SW
WINDS
5 - 10
KNOTS

WEDNESDAY

NE
WINDS
5 KNOTS

The Marine Weather Forecast In Detail:
GMZ650 Forecast Issued: 341 PM CDT Mon Apr 29 2024

Tonight...South Winds 10 To 15 Knots. Seas 4 To 5 Feet. Dominant Wave Period 7 Seconds. Showers Likely This Evening. A Chance Of Showers With A Slight Chance Of Thunderstorms After Midnight.
Tuesday...Southwest Winds 5 To 10 Knots. Seas 3 To 4 Feet. Dominant Wave Period 7 Seconds. A Chance Of Showers In The Morning.
Tuesday Night...Southwest Winds 5 To 10 Knots, Becoming West After Midnight. Seas 2 To 3 Feet. Dominant Wave Period 6 Seconds.
Wednesday...Northeast Winds Around 5 Knots, Becoming South In The Afternoon. Seas 2 To 3 Feet. Dominant Wave Period 6 Seconds.
Wednesday Night...Southwest Winds 5 To 10 Knots, Becoming West After Midnight. Seas Around 2 Feet. Dominant Wave Period 6 Seconds.
Thursday...East Winds 5 To 10 Knots, Becoming South In The Afternoon. Seas Around 2 Feet. Dominant Wave Period 5 Seconds.
Thursday Night...South Winds 5 To 10 Knots. Seas Around 2 Feet In The Evening, Then 1 Foot Or Less. Dominant Wave Period 5 Seconds.
Friday...Southeast Winds 5 To 10 Knots. Seas Around 2 Feet. Dominant Wave Period 5 Seconds.
Friday Night...South Winds 5 To 10 Knots, Becoming East After Midnight. Seas Around 2 Feet. Dominant Wave Period 5 Seconds.
Saturday...East Winds 5 To 10 Knots, Becoming South In The Afternoon. Seas Around 2 Feet. Dominant Wave Period 5 Seconds.
Saturday Night...South Winds 5 To 10 Knots. Seas Around 2 Feet. Dominant Wave Period 5 Seconds. Winds And Seas Higher In And Near Thunderstorms.
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Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
Issued by National Weather Service New Orleans LA
403pm CDT Monday April 29 2024

...New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TER
Marine
Near Term
(Now through Tuesday) Issued at 343pm CDT Monday April 29 2024

A vigorous shortwave trough axis will slide through the forecast area tonight. In advance of this trough axis, a band of showers and a few embedded thunderstorms currently moving through the western portion of the CWA (County Warning Area) will continue to advance eastward across the remainder of Lower Alabama and the western Florida Panhandle tonight into tomorrow morning. At this time, any rainfall should remain on the lighter side as the convective line continues to weaken. Have largely stuck with NBM Probability of Precipitation values resulting in chance to likely Probability of Precipitation over the area tonight. Temperatures will remain mild and overall temperature spread is low between the various model solutions. Given this have stuck with NBM deterministic output which puts lows in the low to mid 60s for tonight.

Tomorrow will see the shortwave trough axis shift to the east, and a broad region of increased negative vorticity advection and upper deep layer subsidence will overspread the forecast area. Skies will clear through the day, and rain chances will come to an end by the mid- afternoon hours. Temperature spread is once again small tomorrow between the various ensemble members, and have stuck with NBM deterministic values. This places highs back into the upper 70s and lower 80s tomorrow afternoon.

.SHORT TERM... (Tuesday night through Thursday night) Issued at 343pm CDT Monday April 29 2024

Deep layer ridging will be in place through the entire short term period, and this will keep conditions largely clear and dry. Temperatures will be quite warm beneath this ridge axis due to strong subsidence throughout the atmospheric column. Highs will be above average and will range from the mid to upper 80s, and potentially even the lower 90s, for both Wednesday and Thursday afternoon. With a dry airmass in place, strong radiational cooling is expected each night, and lows will dip into the low to mid 60s each night. Some atmospheric decoupling could occur each night, and will need to monitor for fog development.

Long Term
(Friday through Monday) Issued at 343pm CDT Monday April 29 2024

The deep layer ridge will continue to dominate the area through the upcoming weekend. A series of fast moving and weak shortwave features will ride around the ridge axis, and this could help to spark off some isolated convective activity each afternoon over more inland portions of the CWA, but areas near the coast can expect to see continued dry conditions as a strong mid-level cap remains in place. Temperatures will remain warmer than average with highs reaching into the mid to upper 80s each day and lows will continue to cool into the low to mid 60s each night as clear skies and low humidity values support strong radiational cooling.

Marine
Issued at 343pm CDT Monday April 29 2024

Winds will remain elevated tonight in advance of an approaching front with winds of 10 to 20 knots expected. After the weak front slips through the area tomorrow morning, winds will shift to the west and southwest and decrease to 10 to 15 knots. Seas will also begin to subside from 3 to 5 feet to 1 to 3 feet by tomorrow afternoon. Conditions will remain very benign from tomorrow afternoon through the end of the week as high pressure dominates the northern Gulf. Winds will shift to an onshore component at 5 to 10 knots and seas of 1 to 2 feet can be expected from Wednesday through the weekend.

NOAA Mobile AL Office: Watches - Warnings - Advisories
AL...High Rip Current Risk through late Tuesday night for ALZ265-266.

High Surf Advisory until 7pm CDT this evening for ALZ265-266.

FL...High Rip Current Risk through late Tuesday night for FLZ202-204- 206.

High Surf Advisory until 7pm CDT this evening for FLZ202-204- 206.

MS...None. GM...None.