Marine Weather Net

Point Piedras Blancas to Point Sal out 10 NM Marine Forecast


TODAY

NW
WINDS
10 - 15
KNOTS

TONIGHT

NW
WINDS
15 - 20
KNOTS

THU

VARIABLE
< 10
KNOTS

THU NIGHT

W
WINDS
10
KNOTS

The Marine Weather Forecast In Detail:
PZZ645 Forecast Issued: 858 AM PDT Wed May 08 2024

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM PDT THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS EVENING
Today...Nw Winds 10 To 15 Kt Increasing To 10 To 20 Kt With Gusts To 25 Kt In The Afternoon. Combined Seas 5 To 7 Ft Dominant Period 11 Seconds.
Tonight...Nw Winds 15 To 20 Kt With Gusts To 25 Kt In The Evening, Becoming 10 To 15 Kt. Combined Seas 5 To 7 Ft Dominant Period 12 Seconds. Patchy Fog After Midnight.
Thu...Winds Variable 10 Kt Or Less, Becoming Sw 10 Kt In The Afternoon. Wind Waves 2 Ft Or Less. Nw Swell 4 To 6 Ft At 11 Seconds. Patchy Fog In The Morning.
Thu Night...W Winds 10 Kt In The Evening, Becoming Variable 10 Kt Or Less. Wind Waves 2 Ft Or Less. Nw Swell 3 To 5 Ft At 11 Seconds.
Fri...Winds Variable 10 Kt Or Less, Becoming W 10 To 15 Kt In The Afternoon. Wind Waves 2 Ft Or Less. Mixed Swell Nw 3 Ft At 11 Seconds And S 2 Ft At 14 Seconds.
Fri Night...Nw Winds 10 To 15 Kt In The Evening, Becoming Variable 10 Kt Or Less. Wind Waves 2 Ft Or Less. Mixed Swell Nw 3 Ft At 12 Seconds And S 2 Ft At 14 Seconds. Patchy Fog After Midnight.
Sat...Nw Winds 10 To 15 Kt. Wind Waves 2 Ft Or Less. Mixed Swell Nw 2 To 3 Ft And S 2 Ft. Patchy Fog.
Sun...Nw Winds 10 To 15 Kt. Wind Waves 1 To 3 Ft. Mixed Swell Nw 2 To 3 Ft And S 2 Ft. Patchy Fog.
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Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard CA
436am PDT Wednesday May 8 2024

Synopsis
08/331 AM.

Gusty northeast winds will affect portions of Los Angeles and Ventura Counties this morning and some warming is expected today. Otherwise, a quiet weather pattern is expected through early next week, with dry conditions. Night through morning low clouds should become more extensive late in the weekend and early next week. Mostly minor day to day changes in temperatures are expected through Sunday, with some cooling possible Monday and Tuesday.

Short Term - Today through Friday
08/418 AM.

Gusty northwest to north winds have dropped below advisory levels in most areas, so the Wind Advisory was allowed to expire. Low level flow has begun to turn northeasterly, and some gusty NE winds will develop in the mountains of Ventura and L.A. County, the northern/western valleys of L.A. County and VTU County, and coastal sections of VTU County. There could be a few advisory level gusts in the more wind-prone locations, but in general, expect winds to remain below advisory levels this m morning.

A pronounced eddy circulation has developed across the inner coastal waters. This has caused low clouds to spread northward form the L.A. County coast into the San Gabriel Valley and eastern portions of the San Fernando Valley, and clouds may become a bit more widespread in the San Fernando Valley by daybreak. Patchy low clouds and fog have also developed across southern portions of the Central Coast. Skies are expected to clear by mid morning. While heigheights and thicknesses will be a bit lower across the region than they were on Tue, there should actually be some warming, especially west of the mountains, thank to offshore flow and warming at 950 mb.

The upper pattern featured a large upper low in the Great Plains extending southwestward into Utah early this morning. A strong rotating around the western periphery of this upper low is cause a new upper low to form over Utah late tonight and Thu, with troughing, and broad cyclonic flow aloft extending into the forecast area.

The high resolution models have really keyed in on a good eddy circulation tonight, with rather strong SE flow spreading thru the Santa Barbara Channel tonight. By Thu morning, this will evolve into a full blown southerly surge as southerly winds at the surface round Pt. Conception and spread northward into and off the Central Coast. Expect more widespread low clouds/fog in coastal areas and in the the lower valleys tonight/Thu morning. The question is whether or not the eddy circulation tonight shifts westward too much, and actually pulls clouds off the coast of L.A. County. But in general, clouds should be more widespread tonight/Thu morning, with clearing expected in most areas by late Thu morning. There will be a fair amount of cooling at 950 mb due to the southeasterly flow, so expect several degrees of cooling in most areas west of the mountains. The exception may be across the Santa Ynez Valley and southern portions of the Central Coast, where southerly flow will downslope, producing some warming.

The upper low will drift southwestward into southern Nevada Thu night/Fri, but it will weaken, and heigheights will actually rise across the area. Expect night thru morning low clouds in coastal and some valley areas Thu night/Fri morning. Max temps should be up a few degrees in most areas Fri, at least away from the coast.

Long Term - Saturday through Tuesday
08/431 AM.

The operational runs of both the GFS (Global Forecast System) and the EC show the upper low reversing course and shifting eastward Fri night and Sat, with an amplifying ridge moving into the West Coast. At the surface, low level N-S gradients will increase across SLO and SBA Counties, possibly resulting in some gusty winds across southern SBA County during the evening hours Fri and Sat. Low clouds may be a bit less widespread Fri night/Sat due to the northerly flow. Also, the marine layer may become shallow enough for clouds to be confined to coastal areas. Max temps may edge upward slightly Sat. The upper ridge will flatten Sun, but heigheights will change little, so do not expect major changes, with night thru morning low clouds in coastal areas and locally in the valley Sat night/Sun. Max temps may come down a tad Sunday as onshore flow increases slightly.

A weak upper low will move across the eastern Pacific Monday and over the region Tue. With lowering heigheights and increasing onshore flow, expect some cooling Monday and Tue, with more extensive night thru morning low clouds and fog extending farther inland.

Marine
08/104 AM.

For the Outer Waters, high confidence in the current forecast. Today through tonight, a combination of Small Craft Advisory (SCA0 level winds and seas are expected. For Thursday through Sunday, winds and seas will remain below SCA (Small Craft Advisory) levels.

For the Inner Waters north of Point Sal, moderate to high confidence in the current forecast. For today, there is a 30% chance of SCA (Small Craft Advisory) level winds this afternoon and evening. For tonight through Sunday, high confidence in winds and seas remaining below SCA (Small Craft Advisory) levels.

For the Inner Waters south of Point Conception, high confidence in the current forecast. Today through Sunday, winds and seas will remain below SCA (Small Craft Advisory) levels. For tonight and Thursday morning, southeasterly wind gusts of 10 to 15 knots will be possible.

NOAA Los Angeles/Oxnard CA Office: Watches - Warnings - Advisories
CA...High Surf Advisory in effect until 9am PDT Thursday for zones 340-346. (See LAXCFWLOX). Beach Hazards Statement in effect through this evening for zone 354. (See LAXCFWLOX). PZ...Small Craft Advisory in effect until 3am PDT Thursday for zones 670-673-676.