Marine Weather Net

Port Fourchon, LA to Lower Atchafalaya River, LA out 20 - 60 NM Marine Forecast


TODAY

S
WINDS
15
KNOTS

TONIGHT

S
WINDS
15 - 20
KNOTS

THURSDAY

S
WINDS
10 - 15
KNOTS

THURSDAY NIGHT

S
WINDS
10 - 15
KNOTS

The Marine Weather Forecast In Detail:
GMZ570 Forecast Issued: 1022 AM CDT Wed May 08 2024

Today...South Winds Around 15 Knots With Gusts Up To 25 Knots. Seas 3 To 4 Feet, Occasionally To 5 Feet. Wave Detail: South 4 Feet At 6 Seconds.
Tonight...South Winds 15 To 20 Knots With Gusts Up To 30 Knots. Seas 4 To 5 Feet, Occasionally To 6 Feet. Wave Detail: South 5 Feet At 6 Seconds.
Thursday...South Winds 10 To 15 Knots With Gusts Up To 25 Knots. Seas Around 4 Feet, Occasionally To 5 Feet. Wave Detail: South 4 Feet At 6 Seconds.
Thursday Night...South Winds 10 To 15 Knots With Gusts Up To 25 Knots. Seas 4 To 5 Feet, Occasionally To 6 Feet. Wave Detail: South 5 Feet At 7 Seconds.
Friday...Southwest Winds 5 To 10 Knots, Becoming Northwest In The Afternoon. Seas 3 To 4 Feet, Occasionally To 5 Feet. Wave Detail: South 4 Feet At 7 Seconds. A Slight Chance Of Showers And Thunderstorms In The Morning.
Friday Night...Northeast Winds 10 To 15 Knots. Seas Around 3 Feet. Wave Detail: Southwest 3 Feet At 6 Seconds And Northeast 2 Feet At 4 Seconds.
Saturday...Northeast Winds 10 To 15 Knots. Seas 3 To 4 Feet, Occasionally To 5 Feet. Wave Detail: Northeast 3 Feet At 5 Seconds And South 3 Feet At 6 Seconds.
Saturday Night...East Winds Around 10 Knots. Seas 2 To 3 Feet. Wave Detail: Southeast 2 Feet At 6 Seconds. A Slight Chance Of Showers After Midnight.
Sunday...East Winds 10 To 15 Knots. Seas 2 To 3 Feet. Wave Detail: Southeast 2 Feet At 5 Seconds. A Chance Of Showers With A Slight Chance Of Thunderstorms.
Sunday Night...Southeast Winds Around 15 Knots. Seas 2 To 3 Feet. Wave Detail: Southeast 3 Feet At 5 Seconds. A Chance Of Showers And Thunderstorms. Winds And Seas Higher In And Near Thunderstorms.
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Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service New Orleans LA
104pm CDT Wednesday May 8 2024

Long Term
(Friday through Tuesday) Issued at 330am CDT Wednesday May 8 2024

Any residual shower/storm activity lingering over from the short term period will quickly exit stage east and south. At the surface, the cold front will continue to drop southward as an upper level Canadian trough continues to amplify over the eastern U.S. With lower heigheights and thicknesses along with low level CAA, temperatures will be slightly cooler on Friday. That said, above average temperatures are anticipated to continue especially closer to the coast. Despite the weak cold air advection, strong insolation/sun angle will help keep things on the warm side.

Going into the weekend, a more progressive pattern takes over. Temperatures start out around average on Saturday and Sunday with a more zonal flow over the region. However, all eyes begin to shift upstream later into Sunday. The next H5 shortwave, this one with Pacific roots, will migrate over the high plains. This will help the front that pushes through late in the short term period or early in the long term period lift back closer toward our region. With surface convergence and perhaps some help from isentropic upglide, POPs increase later into the weekend and especially to start the new workweek. One question is how far north the front will get and how progressive the H5 trough will be. The surface high takes some time to migrate eastward into the Mid Atlantic states this weekend and so return flow will be limited initially. That said, a very moisture rich environment isn't far and with the front lifting northward it wouldn't take long to moderate the low level moisture profile.

Going deeper into the new workweek next week, it appears that a series of upper level impulses within the flow move over our region leading to perhaps periods of showers and thunderstorm activity. Models are still in a bit of a disagreement with the exact strength of upper level features and any surface trough/low development that takes place across the northern Gulf, but feeling a bit more confident with strong Quantitative Precipitation Forecast signals despite the slight disagreements amongst the ECM and GFS. Needless to say with the increase in cloudiness and rainfall, temperatures will be held down or more closer to climo norms. (Frye)

Marine
Issued at 330am CDT Wednesday May 8 2024

Winds will gradually increase today through Thursday with cautionary headlines needed up until a cold frontal boundary passes through the region early Friday. Behind the front, moderate winds and seas will continue with northerly flow developing. This northerly flow will begin to breakdown quickly going into the upcoming weekend as surface high pressure begins to settle across our local waters. (Frye)

NOAA New Orleans LA Office: Watches - Warnings - Advisories
LA...None. GM...None. MS...None. GM...None.