Marine Weather Net

Stake Island, LA to Southwest Pass of the Mississippi River out 20 - 60 NM Marine Forecast


REST OF TODAY

S
WINDS
10 - 15
KNOTS

TONIGHT

S
WINDS
15 - 20
KNOTS

THURSDAY

S
WINDS
10 - 15
KNOTS

THURSDAY NIGHT

SW
WINDS
10 - 15
KNOTS

The Marine Weather Forecast In Detail:
GMZ575 Forecast Issued: 311 PM CDT Wed May 08 2024

SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION IN EFFECT FROM NOW THROUGH 7PM THIS EVENING... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING
Rest Of Today...South Winds 10 To 15 Knots. Seas 3 To 4 Feet, Occasionally To 5 Feet. Wave Detail: Southeast 3 Feet At 6 Seconds.
Tonight...South Winds 15 To 20 Knots With Gusts Up To 25 Knots. Seas 3 To 5 Feet, Occasionally To 6 Feet. Wave Detail: South 5 Feet At 6 Seconds.
Thursday...South Winds 10 To 15 Knots. Seas 4 To 5 Feet, Occasionally To 6 Feet. Wave Detail: South 5 Feet At 6 Seconds.
Thursday Night...Southwest Winds 10 To 15 Knots With Gusts Up To 20 Knots. Seas 4 To 5 Feet, Occasionally To 6 Feet. Wave Detail: South 4 Feet At 7 Seconds. A Slight Chance Of Showers And Thunderstorms After Midnight.
Friday...Southwest Winds Around 10 Knots, Becoming West In The Afternoon. Seas 3 To 4 Feet, Occasionally To 5 Feet. Wave Detail: South 4 Feet At 7 Seconds. A Chance Of Showers With A Slight Chance Of Thunderstorms.
Friday Night...North Winds 10 To 15 Knots. Seas 3 To 4 Feet, Occasionally To 5 Feet. Wave Detail: Northwest 3 Feet At 5 Seconds.
Saturday...Northeast Winds 10 To 15 Knots, Diminishing To 5 To 10 Knots In The Afternoon. Seas 2 To 4 Feet, Occasionally To 5 Feet. Wave Detail: Northeast 3 Feet At 5 Seconds And South 3 Feet At 6 Seconds.
Saturday Night...Northeast Winds 5 To 10 Knots. Seas 2 To 3 Feet. Wave Detail: Northeast 2 Feet At 5 Seconds And South 2 Feet At 6 Seconds.
Sunday...East Winds Around 10 Knots. Seas Around 2 Feet. Wave Detail: East 2 Feet At 4 Seconds And South 1 Foot At 5 Seconds. A Chance Of Showers.
Sunday Night...Southeast Winds 10 To 15 Knots. Seas 2 To 3 Feet. Wave Detail: Southeast 2 Feet At 5 Seconds. A Slight Chance Of Showers In The Evening, Then A Chance Of Showers With A Slight Chance Of Thunderstorms After Midnight. Winds And Seas Higher In And Near Thunderstorms.
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Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service New Orleans LA
632pm CDT Wednesday May 8 2024

Long Term
(Friday through Tuesday night) Issued at 321pm CDT Wednesday May 8 2024

Long Term
Saturday through mid-week... Saturday and most of Sunday, zonal flow will dominate the upper level pattern. Northerly surface winds during this time will help to suppress humidities and keep instability down, which will reduce PoPs. So, not much rain expected Saturday into Sunday morning. Temperatures will be fairly nice over the weekend with highs in the low to mid 80s Saturday and upper 70s to low 80s Sunday with lows in the low 60s.

An upper level impulse moves through the area Sunday night into Monday morning with multiple small upper level impulses in close succession through the early part of next week. For the impulse moving into the area Sunday into Monday, southerly surface winds will help advect moisture and instability ahead of the system. The bulk of the best moisture and forcing looks to be for our northernmost areas, but that could definitely shift as things develop over the next few days. This is where there is some model uncertainty over the location of the highest rainfall/strong weather. This will hopefully become more clear in the coming days.

As stated above, more upper level impulses will be influencing the area after Monday through the workweek. There is still a lot of model variability and uncertainty surrounding the strength of these troughs and timing. But it is becoming increasingly likely that we will see multiple rounds of rainfall Monday through Thursday of next week with near normal temperatures. More details will become a little more defined as we get toward the beginning of next week. MSW

Marine
Issued at 321pm CDT Wednesday May 8 2024

Flow will persist out of the southeast around 10 to 15 knots through the rest of today with some locally higher gusts, strengthening to 15 to 25 knots tonight into Thursday ahead of an approaching cold front. This brings a Small Craft Advisory that will be in effect overnight. The front will pass through the coastal waters Thursday night or early Friday. Winds then shift to the north and east to 10 to 15 Friday and Saturday. Seas will generally be between 1 and 3 feet over the period, but will briefly increase to 3 to 6 feet on Thursday. By Sunday, another area of low pressure will begin to approach the area and winds will turn easterly and then southerly ahead of this low.

NOAA New Orleans LA Office: Watches - Warnings - Advisories
LA...None. GM...Small Craft Advisory until 7am CDT Thursday for GMZ532-534-536- 538-550-552-555-557-570-572-575-577.

MS...None. GM...Small Craft Advisory until 7am CDT Thursday for GMZ534-536-538- 550-552-555-557-570-572-575-577.